CURRICULUM   VITAE

Natalia S. Gavrilova

  October 2014


Contact Information:
Natalia Gavrilova
Center on Aging
NORC at the University of Chicago
1155 E 60th Street, Chicago, IL 60637

Web site: http://longevity-science.org



Education:
M.S.  2003  The University of Chicago, Division of the Physical Sciences, Department of Computer Science
                    (see Diploma and Transcript)
Ph.D. 1982 Moscow State University, Department of Biology, Moscow, Russia. Anthropology.
M.S. 1977 Moscow State University, Department of Chemistry, Moscow, Russia. Chemistry.

Areas of Specialization and Expertise:
In Demography and Gerontology:
Biodemography of Longevity, Mortality and Aging
Biomarkers in Population-Based Aging Research
Health and Sexuality at Older Ages
Demography of Russia and the Former Soviet Union
U.S. Mortality Data Tapes and the U.S. Vital Statistics
Methods of Survival Analysis/ Biostatistics
Statistical Packages (Stata, SAS, SPSS)

In Computer Science:
Database Design, Management and Programming (Sybase, MySQL)
Web Programming (PHP. Java servlets, JSP, Perl, ASP)
Electronic Document Exchange (XML, XSLT, DOM, RSS feeds)
Medical Informatics, Bioinformatics
 

Professional Positions:
1997 - Current: Research Associate, Center on Aging, NORC at the University of Chicago
2005 - Current: Senior Research Associate, University of Chicago
2006 - Current: Faculty member, University of Chicago Center for East European and Russian/Eurasian Studies  (CEERES)
1993-1997 Senior Research Scientist, Institute for Systems Analysis, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia.
1987-1993 Principal Research Scientist, Institute for Medical Information, Moscow, Russia.
1983-1987 Senior Research Scientist, Institute for Medical Information, Moscow, Russia.
1982-1983 Research Scientist, Biological Department, Moscow State University.
1981-1982 Research Scientist, Institute of General Genetics, Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia.

Professional Societies: Gerontological Society of America (GSA Fellow), Population Association of America (PAA), International Union for the Scientific Study of Population, IUSSP (1995-2006), Social Science History Association (SSHA, 2001-2003), European Association for Population Studies (EAPS, 1995-98), Moscow Society of Naturalists, Demographic Section of the Moscow House of Scientists.
 
Research Funding:

In the United States (after 1998):
In Russia (before 1998):
 
Professional Activities:

Editorial Board Member: Demografie, Biogerontology (2006-2012).

Expert (Research Proposal Reviewer)
-- National Institutes of Health Grant Review Commitee: ZRG HOPB 02 (2005), ZRG HOPB 90 (2009) , Special Emphasis Panel/Scientific Review Group 2009/10 ZRG1 PSE-J (Challenge Grant Panel), 2012 Special Emphasis PAR Panel: Biodemography of Aging ZRG1 PSE-H (59), 2013 Social Science and Population Studies Panel B (SSPB)
-- The Maurice Falk Institute for Economic Research in Israel

Expert (Ad Hoc Reviewer): AGE (Journal of the American Aging Association), American Journal of Human Biology, American Journal of Public Health, Annals of Epidemiology, Biogerontology, Biology Letters (Royal Society), Biomedcentral International Health and Human Rights, Biomedcentral Medical Genomics, Comparative Economic Studies, Demography, Economics & Human Biology, Europe-Asia Studies, European Journal of Population, European Journal of Public Health, Experimental Gerontology, Gender Medicine, Genus, Gerontology, Human Genetics, International Journal of Epidemiology, Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, Journal of Anti-Aging Medicine, Journal of Gerontology, Journal of Theoretical Biology, Mathematical Population Studies, Mechanisms of Ageing and Development, Population, North American Actuarial Journal, Population and Development Review, Population Research and Policy Review, Statistics in Medicine, Social Biology, Social Forces, electronic journal TheScientificWorldJournal, Theoretical Population Biology.

Book reviewer for journals The New England Journal of Medicine, Population and Development Review, The Quarterly Review of Biology, Age and Ageing, Ageing and Society.

Consultant for the National Institute on Aging: National Institutes of Health Professional Service Contract #263 SDN74858 "Inventory of data resources on familial aggregation of human longevity that can be used in secondary analysis in biodemography of aging", 35pp. Submitted to NIA on 05/29/98.

Member of the Scientific Advisory Board of the Supercentenarian Research Foundation.

Invited presentations: The “Global Population and the Planetary Future - 2100” International Workshop, Seattle (2011); Moscow's Polytechnical Museum, Russia (2011); United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA) International Seminar “Mortality in Central Asia,” Almaty, Kazakhstan (2011); The second LEPAS workshop on the Economics of Aging, Alicante, Spain (2011); International Symposium "Living to 100" sponsored by the Society of Actuaries, Orlando, FL (2011); International Congress "Our Common Future," Hannover-Essen, Germany (2010); 8th Insurance-Linked Securities Summit, Bermuda (2010); Hannover Life Reassurance Bermuda Limited, Bermuda (2010); International Conference "From Homo sapiens to Homo sapiens liberatus" Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia (2010); University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia (2010); Charles University in Prague, Czechia (2009); UNPFA seminar "Contemporary Methods of Mortality Analysis," Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan  (2008); International Symposium "Living to 100 and Beyond: Survival at Advanced Ages" sponsored by Society of Actuaries, Orlando, FL (2008);  Institute of Gerontology, Faculty of Medicine & Health Science, University Putra Malaysia (UPM), Malaysia (2007); International Workshop on Human Longevity, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM), Malaysia (2007); International Conference on Aging & Longevity Studies "From Homo sapiens to Homo sapiens discatenatus," Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia (2007); Dalhousie University, Halifax, Canada (2007); Harvard School of Public Health, Harvard University (2007); Center for Demography of Health and Aging (CDHA), University of Wisconsin-Madison (2007); Buck Institute for Age Research (2006); Columbia University, Mailman School of Public Health (2006); International Conference "Longevity and Mortality Risks: Research Contributions" Paris, France (2006); The University of California, Santa Cruz (2005); The University of Chicago Department of Ecology and Evolution. The Ecology and Evolution Natural History Seminar (2005); National Institutes of Health, Bethesda (2002, 2004); Chicago Actuarial Association Workshop (2004); Inaugural International Conference on Longevity, Sydney, Australia (2004); The Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies at Harvard University (2004); International Seminar "Projecting Future Mortality" Sponsored by Continuous Mortality Investigation Bureau and the Government Actuary's Department, Edinburgh, UK (2003); Hanse Institute of Advanced Science, Germany (2002);  INSERM, Montpellier, France (1999); Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany (1999); Bowling Green State University, Ohio (1999); Department of Demography at the Rome University, Italy [Dipartrimento di Scienze Demografiche, Roma, Università "La Sapienza"] (1998); Universite Catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium, (1998, 1997, 1995), Gerontology Research Center, National Institute on Aging, Baltimore, MA (1998); Center for Gerontology Research, Allegheny University of the Health Sciences, Philadelphia, PA (1997); University of Washington, Seattle, WA (1997); Aeiveos Sciences Group, Seattle, WA (1997); Institute on Aging, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI (1997); Center on Aging, NORC/University of Chicago, IL (1997); Iowa State University, Ames (1997); Gerontology Center of the University of Georgia, Athens, GA (1997); Institute of HeartMath, Boulder Creek, CA (1997); Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI), The Hague, The Netherlands (1995); Sussex University, Brighton, UK (1995).

Teaching Experience:
Course taught at the Department of Sociology (University of Chicago):
"Biodemography of Human Mortality and Longevity" (219/319), Spring 2000 and Spring 2001.
"Demography of Russia and the Former Soviet Union" (SOCI 20182), Spring 2008
"Demography of Russia and the Former Soviet Union" (SOCI 20182), Winter 2010

Other courses taught:
--  International Workshop on Human Longevity, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM), Malaysia, November 26-27, 2007
--  "Contemporary Methods of Mortality Analysis," United Nations (UNFPA) short course, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, November 3-7, 2008
--  Seminar "Contemporary methods of mortality analysis,"  Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic, September 9-14, 2009
--  Short Course "Contemporary Methods of Mortality Analysis", Institut Universitaire de Medecine Sociale et Preventive, Universite de Lausanne (IUMSP), Lausanne, Switzerland, June 19-21, 2013


Training Experience:
Human Research Curriculum for Social/Behavioral Sciences Investigators and Key Personnel (CITI Completion Certificate issued on 07/31/2012)
NIH online course on Human Participants Protection Education (NIH Completion Certificate issued on 03/13/2002).
"Topics in Bayesian Analysis" at the University of Chicago (Statistics 316, Instructor - Dr. Vanja Dukic, Spring 2002). 

Awards and Honors:
Cited by Encyclopedia Britannica as the author of recommended book "The Biology of Life Span."

“Who’sWho in America” in Marquis Who’sWho, 2010 Edition

Featured in The Wall Street Journal (March 2, 2012), The New York Times (October 20, 2005), Washington Post (November 20, 2006 and November 19, 2007), Forbes (April 18, 2006), Los Angeles Times (January 30, 2012, and November 25, 2006), Chicago Sun-Times (February 21, 2012 and November 22, 2006),  The Telegraph (November 14, 2007), The Sun (November 23, 2006), Daily Mail (June 26, 2006 and November 22, 2006), Daily Telegraph (November 18, 2006),  New Scientist (November 25, 2006),   Science (6 June 1997, p.1503), The Scientist (May 13, 2002, p.20), Sunday Times London (June 15, 1997),  The Guardian, UK (September 01, 2004), IEEE Spectrum (September 2004 issue, cover story).

Invited author for International Handbook of the Demography of Aging (Springer-Verlag), Encyclopedia of the Life Course and Human Development (Gale Cengage), Encyclopedia of Aging (Macmillan Reference USA, 3 articles),  Handbook of the Biology of Aging (Academic Press), Handbook of Models for Human Aging (Elsevier Academic Press), Journal of Theoretical Biology special issue (2001, vol. 213), Population special issue (2001, vol.13), and Springer-Verlag monograph "Sex and Longevity" (2000).

Gordon Research Conference on the Biology of Aging. Travel awards from the Organizing Committee (Il Ciocco, Italy, 10-15 May, 1998 and Ventura, CA, 5-10 January, 1997).

REVES10 International Meeting on Health Expectancy (Tokyo, October 9-12, 1997). Travel award from the Organizing Committee.

U.S. Civilian Research and Development Foundation (CRDF), Proposal Development Program Award (grant #PDP48), 1996.

International Science Foundation (ISF), 1994. Emergency Grant for Russian Scientists of the Top Category.

International Science Foundation (ISF), 1993. Emergency Grant Award.

The Certificate from the International Association of Gerontology (1993) signed by the President and the Secretary General of the International Association of Gerontology in connection with her entry to the 1993 Sandoz Prize for the Gerontological Research: "This work testifies to her efforts to improve understanding of the aging process and to advance scientific knowledge for the benefit of the elderly throughout the world".

A. N. Belozersky Institute, 1991. Award for the best scientific research at the Institute in 1990-1991.

Trinity College, Cambridge University, UK. (Cambridge, December 1991). Travel award.

Moscow Society of Naturalists, 1989. Award for the best scientific research in natural science in 1986-1988.
 

Additional Activities and Skills:

Development of Population Database Management Systems:


PUBLICATIONS

Book:
Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. The Biology of Life Span: A Quantitative Approach, NY: Harwood Academic Publisher, 1991, 385p.
This book is selected and cited by Encyclopedia Britannica as recommended reference.
The book was reviewed by Nature (1991, 352: 767), British Medical Journal (1992, 305: 431), Population and Development Review (1992, 18: 555 and 1998, 24: 381), Population Studies (1992, 46: 366), Am. J. Epidemiology (1994, 139: 231), Experimental Gerontology (1992, 27: 251), The Gerontologist (1991, 31: 707), Human Biology (1992, 64: 630), J. Epidemiology & Community Health (1992, 46: 630), J. Institute of Actuaries (1992, 119: 379), BioEssays (1993, 15: 359), Quarterly Review of Biology (1993, 68: 92), Age and Ageing (1992, 21: 386), Ageing and Society (1991, 11: 509), Archives of Gerontology and Geriatrics (1992, 15: 192), Educational Gerontology (1993, 19: 92), Free Radical Biology & Medicine (1992, 12: 331).

 
Other Publications:



2015

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. New Developments in Biodemography of Aging and Longevity. Gerontology, DOI: 10.1159/000369011, in press.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. New approaches to study historical evolution of mortality (with implications for forecasting). In: C.H.Skiadas (Ed). Theoretical and Applied Issues in Statistics and Demography. In press.


2014

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. Biodemography of Old-Age Mortality in Humans and Rodents. Journal of Gerontology: Biological Sciences, 2014, DOI: 10.1093/gerona/glu009.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Stone, Ch.A., Zissu, A. New Findings on Older People’s Life Expectancies Confirm Gompertz Law: The Impact on the Value of Securitized Life Settlements. Journal of Structured Finance, 2014, Vol. 20, No. 2: pp. 66–73. Summer Issue. DOI: 10.3905/jsf.2014.20.2.066.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Predictors of Exceptional Longevity: Effects of Early-Life Childhood Conditions, Mid-Life Environment and Parental Characteristics.   In: 2014 Living to 100 Monograph  [published online  –  August, 2014, http://livingto100.soa.org/]. The Society of Actuaries, 2014, 18 pages

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A.  Mortality Trajectories at Extreme Old Ages: A Comparative Study of Different Data Sources on U.S. Old-Age Mortality.  In: 2014 Living to 100 Monograph  [published online  –  August, 2014, http://livingto100.soa.org/]. The Society of Actuaries, 2014, 23 pages

Semyonova, VG, Gavrilova, NS, Sabgayda, TP, Antonova, OM, Nikitina S.Yu., Evdokushkina, GN. Approaches to the assessment of alcohol-related losses in the Russian Federation. In: Jon Anson, Marc Luy (eds.). Mortality in an International Perspective, European Studies of Population 18, Springer, Dordrecht, etc., 2014, pp.137-168.


2013

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Determinants of exceptional human longevity: new ideas and findingsVienna Yearbook of Population Research, 2013, 11: 291-323.

Guillot, M, Gavrilova, N, Torgasheva, L, Denisenko, M. Divergent Paths for Adult Mortality in Russia and Central Asia: Evidence from Kyrgyzstan. PLOS ONE, 2013, 8(10): e75314,  DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0075314.

2012

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Biodemography of exceptional longevity: Early-life and mid-life predictors of human longevity. Biodemography and Social Biology, 2012, 58(1):14-39, DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2012.666121.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. Comments on dietary restriction, Okinawa diet and longevity. Gerontology, 2012, 58(3):221-3. Epub 2011 Aug 31., doi: 10.1159/000329894.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A., Severin, F.F. and Skulachev, V.P. Testing predictions of the programmed and stochastic theories of aging: Comparison of variation in age at death, menopause, and sexual maturation. Biochemistry (Moscow), 2012, 77(7), 754-760.

2011

Gavrilov L.A.,  Gavrilova N.S.  Season of Birth and Exceptional Longevity: Comparative Study of American Centenarians, Their Siblings, and Spouses. Journal of Aging Research, 2011, Article ID 104616, 11 pages, doi:10.4061/2011/104616.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Mortality measurement at advanced ages: A study of the Social Security Administration Death Master File. North American Actuarial Journal, 2011, 15(3): 432-447.

Guillot M, Gavrilova N, Pudrovska T. Understanding the "Russian mortality paradox" in Central Asia: Evidence from Kyrgyzstan. Demography, 2011, 48(3): 1081-1104.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A.  Ageing and Longevity: Mortality Laws and Mortality Forecasts for Ageing Populations [In Czech: Starnuti a dlouhovekost: Zakony a prognozy umrtnosti pro starnouci populace].  Demografie, 2011, 53(2): 109-128.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Early-Life Predictors of Exceptional Longevity in the United States: Why Centenarians are Different from Their Shorter-Lived SiblingsLiving to 100 Monograph  [published online  – September 6, 2011]. The Society of Actuaries, 2011, 20 pages

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. Mortality Measurement and Modeling Beyond Age 100.   Living to 100 Monograph  [published online  – September 6, 2011]. The Society of Actuaries, 2011, 22 pages

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S.   Reliability Theory of Aging and Longevity.   In: LEPAS (Long-Run Economic Perspectives of an Aging Society) Conference Papers, 2011, volume 2,  pp. 1 - 42.  Published online as working paper on June 2011 at:  http://www.lepas-fp7.de/lepas-proc-2011-10.pdf .

2010

Lindau, S.T. and Gavrilova, N. Sex, health, and years of sexually active life gained due to good health: evidence from two US population based cross sectional surveys of ageing. British Medical Journal 2010 340: c810. 

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. Search for Mechanisms of Exceptional Human LongevityRejuvenation Research, 2010, 13(2-3): 262-264.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Demographic Consequences of Defeating AgingRejuvenation Research, 2010, 13(2-3): 329-334.

2009

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. Aging Populations: Russia/Eastern Europe. In: P. Uhlenberg (Editor), International Handbook of the Demography of Aging, New York:  Springer-Verlag, 2009, pp.113-131.

Gavrilova N., Lindau S.T. Salivary sex hormone measurement in a national, population-based study of older adults. The Journals of Gerontology Series B: Psychological Sciences and Social Sciences, 2009, 64, Suppl.1, i94-105. doi:10.1093/geronb/gbn028.

Gavrilov L.A.,  Gavrilova N.S.  Personal Profile.  Interview with Leonid A. Gavrilov, Ph.D. and Natalia Gavrilova, Ph.D.  Interview by Vicki Glaser.  Rejuvenation Research, 2009, 12(5): 371-374.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. Genetic Influences in Later Life. In: D. Carr (Editor), Encyclopedia of the Life Course and Human Development, Macmillan Reference USA, 2009, vol.3, pp.165-170.

Gavrilov L.A.,  Gavrilova N.S. Demographic Consequences of Defeating Aging. [Meeting Abstract]. Rejuvenation Research, 2009, 12( Suppl. 1): 29-30.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. Search for Mechanisms of Exceptional Human Longevity. [Meeting Abstract]. Rejuvenation Research, 2009, 12( Suppl. 1): 30.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Body Size in Midlife and Exceptional Longevity:  A Study of the US WWI Draft Registration Cards.  [Meeting Abstract]. The Journal of Nutrition, Health & Aging, 2009, 13( Suppl. 1): 178-179.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Parental Longevity Influences on Mortality Trajectories in Humans.  [Meeting Abstract]. The Journal of Nutrition, Health & Aging, 2009, 13( Suppl. 1): 551.

Gavrilov, L, Gavrilova, N. 2009. Biological age and exceptional longevity. Gerontologist, 49, 90.

Lindau, S.T., Gavrilova, N. 2009. Role of sex hormones in sexuality of older women. Journal of Sexual Medicine, 6, 380.

2008

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Mortality Measurement at Advanced Ages: A Study of the Social Security Administration Death Master File. Living to 100 and Beyond: Survival at Advanced Ages  [online monograph]. The Society of Actuaries, 2008, 32 pages

Gavrilova N.S.,  Gavrilov L.A. Can exceptional longevity be predicted? Contingencies [Journal of the American Academy of Actuaries], 2008, July/August issue, pp. 82-88.

Gavrilova N.S., Semyonova V.G., Dubrovina E., Evdokushkina G.N., Ivanova A.E., Gavrilov L.A.  Russian Mortality Crisis and the Quality of Vital Statistics. Population Research and Policy Review, 2008, 27: 551-574.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A.  Physical and Socioeconomic Characteristics at Young Age as Predictors of Survival to 100: A Study of a New Historical Data Resource (U.S. WWI Draft Cards). Living to 100 and Beyond: Survival at Advanced Ages  [online monograph]. The Society of Actuaries, 2008, 23 pages.

Gavrilova, N; Gavrilov, L. 2008. Effects of parental longevity on mortality trajectories in human offspring. Gerontologist, 48, Sp. issue 3, 494.

Gavrilova, N. 2008. Determinants of human resilience and exceptional longevity. Gerontologist, 48, Sp. issue 3, 161.

Lindau, S.T., Gavrilova, N. 2008. Population gender differences in the effects of obesity on later life sexuality and sexually active life expectancy. Gerontologist, 48, 130.

Gavrilov LA,  Gavrilova NS.  The Science of Staying Young  [Book Review].  The Quarterly Review of Biology, 2008,  83(4): 420-421.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Evolution in Health and Disease [Book Review]. The New England Journal of Medicine, 2008, 359(17): 1856-1857.

Gavrilov LA,  Gavrilova NS.  Aging: The Paradox of Life: Why We Age [Book Review].  The Quarterly Review of Biology, 2008,  83(3): 325-326.

Gavrilov LA,  Gavrilova NS.  The Biology of Human Longevity: Inflammation, Nutrition, and Aging in the Evolution of Lifespans [Book Review].  The Quarterly Review of Biology, 2008,  83(1): 107-107.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. The Longevity Revolution: The Benefits and Challenges of Living a Long Life [Book Review]. The New England Journal of Medicine, 2008, 358(20): 2187-2188.


2007

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. Search for Predictors of Exceptional Human Longevity: Using Computerized Genealogies and Internet Resources for Human Longevity Studies. North American Actuarial Journal, 2007, 11(1): 49-67.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A.   Authors' Reply in Discussion "Search for Predictors of Exceptional Human Longevity: Using Computerized Genealogies and Internet Resources for Human Longevity Studies."  North American Actuarial Journal,  2007, 11(4): 135-138.

Lindau,S.T., Gavrilova N., Anderson, D. Sexual morbidity in very long term survivors of vaginal and cervical cancer: A comparison to national norms. Gynecologic Oncology, 2007, 106(2), 413-418.


2006

Gavrilov LA,  Gavrilova NS.   Reliability Theory of Aging and Longevity.   In:  Masoro E.J. & Austad S.N.. (eds.):  Handbook of the Biology of Aging,  Sixth Edition. Academic Press. San Diego, CA, USA, 2006, 3-42.

Curtsinger JW, Gavrilova NS, Gavrilov LA.  Biodemography of Aging and Age-Specific Mortality in Drosophila melanogaster.   In:  Masoro E.J. & Austad S.N.. (eds.):  Handbook of the Biology of Aging,  Sixth Edition. Academic Press. San Diego, CA, USA, 2006, 261-288.

Gavrilov LA, Gavrilova NS. Models of Systems Failure in Aging. In: P Michael Conn (Editor): Handbook of Models for Human Aging, Burlington, MA : Elsevier Academic Press, 2006. 45-68. ISBN 0123693918.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. The Quest for Human Longevity: Science, Business, and Public Policy [Book Review]. The New England Journal of Medicine, 2006, 354(19): 2663-2664.

Gavrilov L., Gavrilova N.  "New Approach to Study Determinants of Exceptional Human Longevity [Meeting abstract]".  The Gerontologist,  2006, 46 (1): 566.

Gavrilov LA, Gavrilova NS. Age Specific Data Analysis is Needed [Letter]. British Journal of Psychiatry Online, 4 May 2006.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Childhood Conditions and Exceptional Longevity. Full paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Los Angeles, CA, April 1, 2006, 35 pages. Published online at: http://paa2006.princeton.edu/download.aspx?submissionId=61675


2005

Gavrilova, N.S., Gavrilov, L.A. Human longevity and reproduction: An evolutionary perspective. In: Voland, E.; Chasiotis, A. & Schiefenhoevel, W. (eds.). Grandmotherhood - The Evolutionary Significance of the Second Half of Female Life. New Brunswick, NJ: Rutgers University Press, 2005, 59-80.

Gavrilova, N.S., Gavrilov, L.A., Semyonova, V.G., Evdokushkina,  G.N., Ivanova, A.E. 2005. Patterns of violent crime in Russia. In: Pridemore, W.A. (ed.). Ruling Russia: Law, Crime, and Justice in a Changing Society. Boulder, CO: Rowman & Littlefield Publ., Inc, 117-145.

Gavrilova, N.S., Gavrilov, L.A. Living to 100 and Beyond: Search for Predictors of Exceptional Human Longevity. Final report published online by the Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois, USA, 2005, 81 pages.

Gavrilova, N.S., Gavrilov, L.A. Search for Predictors of Exceptional Human Longevity. In: “Living to 100 and Beyond” Monograph. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois, USA, 2005, pp. 1-49.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Mortality of centenarians: A study based on the Social Security Administration Death Master File.  Full Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (Philadelphia, March 31 - April 2, 2005, oral presentation), 31 pages.Abstract published in: Population Association of America 2005 Annual Meeting. Final Program and Abstracts. p. 183.

Gavrilova, N.S., Gavrilov, L.A. 2005. Search for Predictors of Exceptional Human Longevity: Using Computerized Genealogies and Internet Resources for Human Longevity Studies. Published online at: http://ce.soa.org/living-to-100/3b_papers.pdf. Full Paper presented at the Living to 100 and Beyond International Symposium sponsored by the Society of Actuaries (Orlando, Florida on January 12-14, 2005, oral presentation).

Gavrilov LA, Gavrilova NS., 2005, Commentary on "How is the Evolutionary Biological Theory of Aging Holding up Against Mounting Attacks?" American Aging Association Newsletter, April issue, pages 6 - 8.

Gavrilova, N.S., Semyonova V.G., Evdokushkina G.N., Ivanova A.E.  Problems with mortality data in Russia.  Full Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (Philadelphia, March 31 - April 2, 2005, oral presentation), 22 pages. Abstract published in: Population Association of America 2005 Annual Meeting. Final Program and Abstracts. p. 294.

Semyonova V.G., Dubrovina E.V., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Gavrilov L.A.  Estimates of  the real levels of violent death rates in Russia. Public Health and Disease Prevention, 2005,  3:  14-23.

Semyonova V.G., Dubrovina E.V., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Gavrilov L.A.  Potential for trauma mortality in the Russian population of working age. Public Health and Disease Prevention, 2005,  2:  11-14.


2004

Gavrilov LA, Gavrilova NS. Why We Fall Apart. Engineering's Reliability Theory Explains Human Aging. IEEE Spectrum, 2004, 41(9): 30-35.

Gavrilova NS, Gavrilov LA, Semyonova VG, Evdokushkina GN. Does exceptional human longevity come with high cost of infertility? Testing the evolutionary theories of agingAnnals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 2004, 1019: 513-517.

Gavrilov LA, Gavrilova NS. Early-life programming of aging and longevity: The idea of high initial damage load (the HIDL hypothesis).  Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 2004, 1019: 496-501.

Gavrilov LA, Gavrilova NS. The reliability-engineering approach to the problem of biological agingAnnals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 2004, 1019: 509-512.

Gavrilov LA, Gavrilova NS. Early-Life Exposure, Season of Birth and Gender Differences in Human Life Span. Science, 2004, 305(5691): 1739 (letter published in Science online at: http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/eletters/305/5691/1736#1075).

Gavrilova N.S. Genetics of Human Longevity: New Ideas and Findings [Abstract of invited lecture]. 2004, p. 46.  In: Inaugural International Conference on Longevity. Final Programme and Abstracts. Sydney Convention & Exhibition Centre. Sydney, Australia, March 5-7, 2004, 94 pp.

Ivanova A.E., Semyonova V.G., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Gavrilov L.A.  Mortality trends: Role of particular age groups and causes of death in their shaping. Public Health and Disease Prevention, 2004,  6: 3-9.

Semyonova V.G., Dubrovina E.V., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Gavrilov L.A.  On the problems of trauma mortality in Russia: Kirov region case. Public Health and Disease Prevention, 2004,  3: 3-9.

Semyonova V.G., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Gavrilov L.A.  Data quality of medical statistics as a problem of modern Russian health care. Public Health and Disease Prevention, 2004,  2:  11-18.

Ivanova A.E., Semyonova V.G., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Dubrovina E.V., Gavrilov L.A.  Russian mortality in 1965-2002  -- major problems and opportunities for decrease. Public Health and Disease Prevention, 2004,  1:  20-30.


2003

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A., Evdokushkina, G.N., Semyonova, V.G.  Early-life predictors of human longevity: Analysis of the 19th Century birth cohorts. Annales de Demographie Historique, 2003, 2: 177-198.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Early-life factors modulating lifespan. In: Rattan, S.I.S. (Ed.).Modulating Aging and Longevity. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, 2003, 27-50.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S.  The quest for a general theory of aging and longevity. Science's SAGE KE (Science of Aging Knowledge Environment) for 16 July 2003; Vol 2003, No.28, 1-10. http://sageke.sciencemag.org

Gavrilova NS, Gavrilov LA, Semyonova VG, Evdokushkina GN. Does Exceptional Human Longevity Come With High Cost of Infertility? Testing the Evolutionary Theories of Aging. Biogerontology. 4(Suppl.1): 35-35, 19 Sep 2003

Gavrilov LA, Gavrilova NS. Early-Life Programming of Aging and Longevity: The Idea of High Initial Damage Load (the HIDL Hypothesis). Biogerontology. 4(Suppl. 1): 34-34, 19 Sep 2003

Gavrilov LA, Gavrilova NS. Reliability-Engineering Approach to the Problem of Biological Aging. Biogerontology. 4(Suppl. 1): 34-35, 19 Sep 2003

Ivanova A.E., Semyonova V.G., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Gavrilov L.A., Devichenskaya M.N. Age patterns of mortality in urban and rural population of Russia in the 1990s. Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, 2003, 1:  17-26.

Semenova V.G., Ivanova A.E., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Gavrilov L.A. Regional variation of mortality as an indicator of health decline in the Russian population. Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, 2003, 4: 9-14.

Gavrilova N., Gavrilov L., Evdokushkina G., Semyonova V.   Are long-lived women more prone to infertility?:  Testing the prediction of evolutionary theories of aging. Gerontologist, 2003, 43 (Sp. issue): 9-9.

Gavrilov L., Gavrilova N., Semyonova V., Evdokushkina G.  Early-life seasonal programming of human  longevity. Gerontologist, 2003, 43 (Sp. issue): 582-582.

2002

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Evolutionary theories of aging and longevityTheScientificWorldJOURNAL, 2002, 2: 339-356.  Available: http://www.thescientificworld.com/

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S., Olshansky S.J., Carnes B.A. Genealogical data and biodemography of human longevity. Social Biology, 2002, 49(3-4): 160-173.

Gavrilova, N.S., Gavrilov, L.A. Evolution of Aging. In: David J. Ekerdt (eds.) Encyclopedia of Aging, New York, Macmillan Reference USA, 2002, vol. 2, 458-467.

Gavrilova, N.S., Gavrilov, L.A. Genetics: Ethnicity. In: David J. Ekerdt et al. (eds.) Encyclopedia of Aging, New York, Macmillan Reference USA, 2002, vol.2, 538-539.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S.  Genetics. In: David J. Ekerdt et al. (eds.) Encyclopedia of Aging, New York, Macmillan Reference USA, 2002, vol. 2, 536-538.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. The quest for the theory of human longevity. The Actuary, 2002, 36(5): 10-13.

Carnes, B.A., Gavrilova, N. and Grahn D.  Pathology effects at radiation doses below those causing increased mortality. Radiation Research, 2002, 158: 187-194.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. Mechanism of inheritance of human longevity: Paradox resolved. Gerontologist, 2002, 42 (Sp. issue): 7-7.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Bio-reliability theory of aging and longevity. Gerontologist, 2002, 42 (Sp. issue): 7-7.

Ivanova A.E., Semyonova V.G., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Gavrilov L.A., Demchenko T.A. Mortality in Russia in the 1990s and reserves of its reduction: Trends and forecasting. Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, 2002, 3: 9-19.

Semyonova V.G., Ivanova A.E., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Gavrilov L.A. Regional mortality variation as an indicator of health deterioration in the Russian population. Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, 2002, 4: 9-14.

Semyonova V.G., Ivanova A.E., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Gavrilov L.A., Devichenskaya M.N.  The medico-demographic situation in urban and rural areas: similarity and differences. Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, 2002, 5: 8-14.

2001

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. The reliability theory of aging and longevity. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 2001, 213(4): 527-545.

Gavrilova, N.S., Gavrilov, L.A. When does human longevity start?: Demarcation of the boundaries for human longevity. Journal of Anti-Aging Medicine, 2001, 4(2): 115-124.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Epidemiology of human longevity: The search for appropriate methodology. Journal of Anti-Aging Medicine, 2001, 4(1): 13-30.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Biodemographic study of familial determinants of human longevity. Population: An English Selection, 2001, 13(1): 197-222.

Carnes, B.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Risk analysis: Divergent models and convergent interpretations. Radiation Research, 2001, 156: 628-630.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Etude biodemographique des determinants familiaux de la longevite humaine. Population, 2001, 56(1-2): 225-252 (in French).

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina, G.N., Semyonova, V.G. Parental age effects on human longevity. Abstract. Gerontology, 2001,47(Suppl.1): 611-611.

Gavrilova, N.S., Gavrilov, L.A., Evdokushkina, G.N., Semyonova, V.G. Study of the inheritance of human longevity. Abstract. Gerontology, 2001, 47(Suppl.1): 611-611.

Gavrilova, N.S., Gavrilov, L.A. Consanguinity and human longevity: Findings from the International Centenarian Study. Gerontologist, 2001, 41 (Sp. issue): 87-87.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. The effects of early-life events on adult lifespan are sex-specific.  Gerontologist, 2001, 41 (Sp. issue): 163-163..

2000

Gavrilova, N.S., Semyonova, V.G., Evdokushkina G.N., Gavrilov, L.A. The response of violent mortality to economic crisis in Russia. Population Research and Policy Review, 2000, 19: 397-419.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S.  Human longevity and parental age at conception. In: J.-M.Robine et al. (eds.) Sex and Longevity: Sexuality, Gender, Reproduction, Parenthood, Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag, 2000, 7-31.

Gavrilova, N.S., Gavrilov L.A., Semyonova, V.G., Evdokushkina, G.N. Mechanisms of familial transmission of human longevity. Abstract. Am. J. Phys. Anthropol., 2000, Suppl.30: 156-157.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina, G.N., Semyonova, V.G. Mutations, parental age, and offspring longevity: New ideas and findings. Abstract. Am. J. Phys. Anthropol., 2000, Suppl.30: 156.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Validation of exceptional longevity. Book Review. Population and Development Review, 2000, 26(2): 40-41.

Semyonova V.G., Gavrilova N.S., Varavikova Ye.A., Gavrilov L.A., Yevdokushkina G.N.  Rise in violent death rates in Russia as a consequence of the economic crisisDiseases Prevention and  Health Promotion, 2000, 4: 3-10.

Semyonova V.G., Varavikova Ye.A., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Gavrilov L.A.,   Evolution of female mortality due to injuries and intoxications in some regions of Russia in the period of economic reformsDiseases Prevention and  Health Promotion, 2000, 3: 29-31.

1999

Gavrilova, N.S., Gavrilov, L.A. Data resources for biodemographic studies on familial clustering of human longevity. Demographic Research [Online], 1999, vol.1(4): 1-48. Available: http://www.demographic-research.org/Volumes/Vol1/4/

Ermakov, S.P., Antonyuk, V.V., Gavrilova, N.S., Evdokushkina, G.N. Factographic Automated Information Reference System (FAISS-"Potential"). In: K. Peter (ed.). Proceedings of the International Collaborative Effort on Automating Mortality Statistics, Volume 1. Hyattsville, MD: NCHS, 1999. DHHS Publication No.(PHS) 99-1252. 19-1-19-2.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Season of birth and human longevity. Journal of Anti-Aging Medicine, 1999, 2(4): 365-366.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Is there a reproductive cost for human longevity? Journal of Anti-Aging Medicine, 1999, 2(2): 121-123.

Carnes, B.A., Olshansky, S.J., Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S., Grahn, D. Human longevity: Nature vs. Nurture - fact or fiction. Perspectives in Biology and Medicine, 1999, 42(3): 422-441.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. How human longevity and species survival could be compatible with high mutation rates. Journal of Anti-Aging Medicine, 1999, 2(2): 153-154.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S., Evdokushkina, G.N., Semyonova, V.G. Familial transmission of human longevity is a function of parental age at reproduction. Abstract. The Gerontologist, 1999. 39(1): 146.

Gavrilova, N.S., Gavrilov, L.A., Evdokushkina, G.N., Semyonova, V.G. Demarcation of the boundaries for human longevity. Abstract. The Gerontologist, 1999. 39(1): 146-147.

Gavrilova, N.S., Gavrilov, L.A., Evdokushkina, G.N., Semyonova, V.G.  The future of human longevity: A more realistic approach for life expectancy forecasting.  Abstract.  AGE (Journal of the American Aging Association), 1999. 22(3): 22-22.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S., Evdokushkina, G.N., Semyonova, V.G.  Children born to older mothers do not inherit maternal lifespan.  Abstract.  AGE (Journal of the American Aging Association), 1999. 22(3): 22-23.

1998

Gavrilova, N.S., Gavrilov, L.A., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova, V.G., Gavrilova, A.L., Evdokushkina, N.N., Kushnareva, Yu.E., Kroutko, V.N., Andreyev, A.Yu. Evolution, mutations and human longevity. Human Biology, 1998, 70(4): 799-804.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S., Semyonova V.G., Evdokushkina G.N., Kroutko V.N., Gavrilova A.L., Evdokushkina N.N., Lapshin E.V. Evolutionary theory, mutations and human life span. Proc. Russian Acad. Sci. [Doklady Akademii Nauk], 1998, 359(3): 426-427. English translation published in Doklady Biological Sciences, 1998, 359(3): 159-160.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S., Semyonova V.G., Evdokushkina G.N., Kroutko V.N., Gavrilova A.L., Evdokushkina N.N., Kushnareva Yu.E. The regularities of inheritance of human life span: contribution of paternal and maternal longevity to the offspring life span. Proc. Russian Acad. Sci. [Doklady Akademii Nauk], 1998, 360(2): 281-283. English translation published in Doklady Biological Sciences, 1998, 360: 250-252.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S., Evdokushkina, G.N., Semyonova, V.G. Human longevity, spontaneous mutations and paternal age. Abstract. The Gerontologist, 1998, 38(1): 8.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova V.G. Non-linear transmission of human longevity from mother to daughter. Abstract. The Gerontologist, 1998, 38(1): 8.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. The future of long life. Letter. Science, 1998, 281(5383): 1611-1612.

1997

Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Ermakov, S.P., Gavrilov L.A. An analysis of the health and mortality data for the provinces of Russia. In: International Population Conference. Beijing, 1997. Liege: IUSSP, 1997, vol.3, 1245-1257.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Parental age at conception and offspring longevity. Reviews in Clinical Gerontology, 1997, 7: 5-12.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova, N.S., Kroutko, V.N., Evdokushkina, G.N., Semyonova, V.G., Gavrilova, A.L., Lapshin, E.V., Evdokushkina N.N., Kushnareva, Yu.E. Mutation load and human longevity. Mutation Research, 1997, 377(1): 61-62.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S., Semyonova V.G., Evdokushkina G.N., Kroutko V.N., Gavrilova A.L., Evdokushkina N.N., Lapshin E.V. Maternal age and offspring longevity, Proc. Russian Acad. Sci. [Doklady Akademii Nauk], 1997, 354(4): 569-572. English translation published in Doklady Biological Sciences, 1997, 354(4): 287-289.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Human reproduction in later life: a research project. Health Care in Later Life, 1997, 2(4): 275-276.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. When Fatherhood Should Stop? Letter. Science, 1997, 277(5322): 17-18.

1995

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S., Snarskaya N.P., Semyonova V.G., Evdokushkina G.N., Gavrilova A.L., Lapshin E.V., Evdokushkina N.N. Paternal age and the life span of descendants. Proc. Russian Acad. Sci. [Doklady Akademii Nauk], 1995, 341(4): 566-568. English translation published in Doklady Biological Sciences, 1995, 341(4): 196-198.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S., Semyonova V.G., Evdokushkina G.N., Gavrilova A.L., Evdokushkina N.N., Lapshin E.V. (1995b). Human longevity genes are located in X-chromosome. In: Knook D.L., Dittman-Kohli F., Duursma S.A. et al. (eds.) Ageing in a Changing Europe. III European Congress of Gerontology: 30 August 30 - September 1, 1995. Utrecht: Netherlands Institute of Gerontology, Abstract No. 020.0027.

Gavrilova N.S., Semyonova V.G., Gavrilov L.A., Evdokushkina G.N., Gavrilova A.L., Lapshin E.V., Evdokushkina N.N. (1995). Biomedical basis of sex differential in human life span. In: Knook D.L., Dittman-Kohli F., Duursma S.A. et al. (eds.) Ageing in a Changing Europe. III European Congress of Gerontology: August 30 - September 1, 1995. Utrecht: Netherlands Institute of Gerontology, Abstract No. 020.0028.

1994

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. A question of history. From Leonid A.Gavrilov and Natalia S.Gavrilova. BioEssays, 1994, 16(8): 591-593.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Sex and longevity. Letter. Nature, 1994, 367(6463): 520.

1993

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Fruit fly aging and mortality. Letter, Science, 1993, 260(5114): 1565-1565.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. When your time's up. Letter. British Medical Journal, 1993, 306(6880): 796-796.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. How many cell divisions in 'old' cells? Int. J. Geriatric Psychiatry, 1993, 8(6): 528-528.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Common sense and the limits to life. Int. J. Geriatric Psychiatry, 1993, 8(8): 695-695.

1991

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. The Biology of Life Span [Biologia prodolzhitel'nosti zhizni]. Monograph. 2nd edition. Moscow: Nauka, 1991.

1989

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Life span is determined by resting metabolic rate of parents only! AGE (Journal of the American Aging Association), 1989, 12: 113-113.

1987

Ermakov, S.P., Gavrilova, N.S. Statistical analysis of the organisms' survival data. In E.B.Burlakova and L.A.Gavrilov (eds.) Population Gerontology [Populatsionnaya Gerontologia]. vol. 6. Moscow: VINITI, 1987, 155-189.

1986

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. The Biology of Life Span. Monograph. Moscow: Nauka, 1986.

Gavrilov, L.A., Semyonova, V.G., Gavrilova, N.S. Methods of analysis of the life tables. In: A.G. Vishnevskii (ed.) Research Methods [Metody issledovaniya], Moscow: Mysl', 1986, 96-110.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S., and Semyonova, V.G. The life span. A system analysis. In: Demographic processes and their regularities, Moscow: Mysl', 1986, 89-109.

1985

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Human species-specific life-span: Its estimation and interpretation. Age, 1985, 8(3): 94-94.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S., Semyonova V.G. Epidemiologic approach to the biology of human life span. Geographia Medica, 1985, 15: 40-64.

1984

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Historically stable indices of mortality and their use for medical geography. Geographia medica, 1984, 14: 305-306.

Gavrilov, L.A., Mazurkevich, Z.B. and Gavrilova, N.S.  Testing aging hypotheses on the basis of long-livers' survival data.  In: Long-livers [Dolgozhiteli]. Metzniereba, Tbilisi, 1984, 67-68.

1983

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S., Nosov, V.N. Human life span stopped increasing: Why?  Gerontology, 1983, 29(3): 176-180.

Gavrilova, N.S., Semyonova, V.G. and Gavrilov, L.A.  The Card-Index of data on human life span. In:  Problems in the Biology of Aging, 1983, Moscow: Nauka, 71-76.

1982

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Aging in cell cultures. In: Biology of Aging [Biologia starenia], 1982, 236-246. Leningrad: Nauka.

Gavrilova, N.S. Study of the biological characteristics for the human life span. Ph.D. Dissertation. Moscow: Moscow State University, 1982..

Gavrilov, L.A., Semyonova, V.G., Gavrilova, N.S. On the feasibility of mortality forecasting by the methods of biological kinetics. In: Issues on population reproduction and demographic policy, Moscow: Institute of Sociological Studies of the USSR Academy of Sciences, 1982, 108-123.

Gavrilova, N.S. and Gavrilov, L.A. A new method of evaluating the prospects of influence, which extend life-duration. Rejuvenation, 1982, 310: 14-15.

Gavrilova, N.S. and Gavrilov, L.A. Kinetic studies of survival in the elderly. In: Current issues in gerontology and geriatrics. Metsniereba, Tbilisi, 1982.

1979

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Historical perspective on kinetic of human mortality. Proc. Acad. Sci. USSR [Doklady Akademii Nauk SSSR], 1979, 245(4): 1017-1020. English translation by Plenum Publ Corp: pp. 776-778.

Gavrilova, N.S., Semyonova, V.G., Gavrilov, L.A. A new principle for testing the mathematical theories of aging, mortality and lifespan. In Gerontology and Geriatrics. Life extension: forecasts, mechanisms, control, Kiev: Institute of Gerontology, 1979, 30-34.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. Determination of species length of life. Proc. Acad. Sci. USSR [Doklady Akademii Nauk SSSR], 1979, 246(2): 465-469. English translation by Plenum Publ Corp: pp. 905-908.

1978

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S., Yaguzhinsky, L.S. The main regularities of animal aging and death viewed in terms of reliability theory. J. General Biology [Zhurnal Obschey Biologii], 1978, 39(5): 734-742.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. The culture of diploid cells as an object for studying the molecular mechanisms of aging. Achievements in Modern Biology [Uspekhi Sovremennoy Biologii], 1978, 85(2): 267-283.
 

Papers Presented at Professional Meetings

2008

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. New Findings on Human Longevity Predictors. Paper presented at the Annual meeting of the Gerontological Society of America, National Harbor, MD, November 2008.

Gavrilova N.S., Lindau S.T. Gender Differences in the Effects of Obesity on Sexuality at Older Ages. Paper presented at the Annual meeting of the Gerontological Society of America, National Harbor, MD, November 2008.

Lindau S.T., Gavrilova N.S. Sex hormones, sexuality and health of older women. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, New Orleans, May 2008.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A.. Physical and Socio-Economic Characteristics at Young Age as Predictors of Survival to 100.  A study of a new historical data resource (the US WWI draft cards). Presented at the International Symposium "Living to 100 and Beyond: Survival at Advanced Ages."  Orlando, Florida,  January 7-9, 2008, The Society of Actuaries.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Mortality Measurement at Advanced Ages: A Study of the Social Administration Death Master File. Presented at the International Symposium "Living to 100 and Beyond: Survival at Advanced Ages."  Orlando, Florida,  January 7-9, 2008, The Society of Actuaries.

2007


Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Biodemography of Human Longevity. Presented at the 2007 National Conference on Ageing in Malaysia "Building on the Past, Looking to the Future." Equatorial Hotel, Bangi-Putrajaya, Malaysia, December 4-5, 2007.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Models of Systems Failure in [Human] Aging. Presented at the International Conference on Mathematical Sciences "Integrating Mathematical Sciences within Society"." Equatorial Hotel, Bangi-Putrajaya, Malaysia, November 28-29, 2007.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. New Findings on Human Longevity Predictors. Paper presented at the Annual meeting of the Gerontological Society of America, San Francisco, CA, November 2007.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Biodemographic Reliability Theory of Ageing and Longevity. Presented at the VI European Congress of the International Association of Gerontology and Geriatrics
St. Petersburg, Russia, July 5 - 8, 2007.

Gavrilova N.S., Lindau S.T.  Sexuality: An Overlooked Aspect of Women’s Health. Presented at the Meeting of the International Network on Health Expectancy (REVES).  St Petersbourg, FL,  15-17 May, 2007

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. Physical Markers at Young Age and Survival to 100: A Study of a New Historical Data Resource (The U.S. WWI Draft Cards). Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, New York, March 2007.

2006


Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. New Approach to Study Determinants of Exceptional Human Longevity. Paper presented at the Annual meeting of the Gerontological Society of America, Dallas, TX, November 2006.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Childhood Conditions and Exceptional Longevity. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Los Angeles, March 29 - April 1, 2006.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. Mortality Tables and Laws: Biodemographic Analysis and Reliability Theory Approach. Presented at the International Conference "Longevity and Mortality Risks: Research Contributions."  Paris, France, January 17, 2006.

2005

Gavrilova N.S., Semyonova V.G., Evdokushkina G.N., Ivanova A.E., Gavrilov L.A. Problems with Mortality Data in Russia. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Philadelphia, March, 2005.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Mortality of Centenarians: A Study Based on the Social Security Administration Death Master File. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Philadelphia, March, 2005.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. Search for Predictors of Exceptional Human Longevity: Using Computerized Genealogies and Internet Resources for Human Longevity Studies" . Presented at the International Symposium "Living to 100 and Beyond: Survival at Advanced Ages."  Orlando, Florida,  January 12-14, 2005, The Society of Actuaries.

2004


Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Using survival data as a predictive factor for survival or other outcomes. Presented at Workshop on Uses of Survival Data in Research on Factors Affecting Aging. The National Institute on Aging, NIH, Washington, DC, USA, May 11-12, 2004.

Gavrilova N.S., Semyonova V.G., Evdokushkina G.N., Gavrilov L.A., Ivanova A.E. oung Women and Violence in Russia: A Study of Homicide Victimization Rates. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Boston, April 1-3 2004.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Biodemography of Human Longevity. Presented at plenary session of Inaugural International Conference on Longevity, Sydney, Australia, March 5-7,  2004.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A.. Genetics of Human Longevity: New Ideas and Findings. Presented at Inaugural International Conference on Longevity, Sydney, Australia, March 5-7,  2004.


2003

Gavrilova N.S., Semyonova V.G., Evdokushkina G.N., Gavrilov L.A., Ivanova A.E.Recent mortality trends in Russia: Differences between younger and older generations.Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Minneapolis, May 2003.
 
Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova V.G. " Is fertility impaired among the longevous women? Testing the evolutionary theories of aging." Poster presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Minneapolis, May 2003.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Reliability theory & mortality.  Invited presentation at the Chicago Actuarial Association Workshop, Chicago, March 25, 2003.

2002

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. "Mechanism of inheritance of human longevity: Paradox resolved". Poster presented at the Annual meeting of the Gerontological Society of America, Boston, November 22-26, 2002.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Bio-reliability theory of aging and longevity.  Poster presented at the Annual meeting of the Gerontological Society of America, Boston, November 22-26, 2002.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. "The quest for the general theory of aging and longevity." National Institutes of Health Meeting "The Dynamic and Energetic Bases of Health and Aging." Bethesda, November 11-13, 2002.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. "Early-life seasonal programming of adult lifespan: Evidence from the 19th century birth cohorts."  Poster presented at the Annual Meeting of Social Science and History Association." St. Louis, October 24-27, 2002.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. "Is there a trade-off between the costs of reproduction and longevity?"  Invited paper presented and the International meeting "Grandmothers: The psychological, social, and reproductive significance of the second half of life." Delmenhorst, Germany, September 19-21, 2002. Organized by Hanse Institute for Advanced Science.

Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova V.G. "Mortality crisis in Russia:  New health threats". Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Atlanta, May 9-11, 2002. Abstract published in: Population
Association of America. 2002 Annual Meeting. Final Program and Abstracts, p.170.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova V.G. "Early life conditions and later sex differences in adult lifespan."  Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Atlanta, May 9-11, 2002. Abstract published in: Population Association of America. 2002 Annual Meeting. Final Program and Abstracts, p.288.

2001

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova V.G. "The effects of early-life events on adult lifespan are sex-specific." Paper presented at the Annual meeting of the Gerontological Society of America, Chicago, November 15-18, 2001.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A.  “Early-life predictors of human longevity.” Paper presented at the 26th annual meeting of the Social Science History Association, Chicago, November 15-18, 2001.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. "Consanguinity and human longevity:  Findings from the International  Centenarian  Study."  Poster presented at the Annual meeting of the Gerontological Society of America, Chicago, November 15-18, 2001.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova V.G. 2001. "Parental age effects on human longevity". Paper presented at the 17th Congress of the International Association of Gerontology, Vancouver, Canada, July 1-6, 2001.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A., Semyonova V.G., Evdokushkina G.N. 2001. "Study of the inheritance of human longevity". Paper presented at the 17th Congress of the International Association of Gerontology, Vancouver, Canada, July 1-6, 2001.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova V.G. 2001. "Inbreeding and human longevity: first findings from the International Centenarian Study." Paper presented at the 13th Meeting of the International Network on Health Expectancy (REVES-13), Vancouver, Canada.

Gavrilova, N.S., Semyonova, V.G., Evdokushkina, G.N., Gavrilov, L.A. 2001. "Mortality crisis in Russia: New health threats". Paper presented at the 13th Meeting of the International Network on Health Expectancy (REVES-13), Vancouver, Canada.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova V.G. 2001. "Gender-specific effects of early life events on adult lifespan". Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (Washington, DC, March 23-25, 2001). Abstract published in: Population Association of America. 2001 Annual Meeting. Final Program and Abstracts. p.233.

Gavrilova, N.S., Evdokushkina, G.N., Semyonova, V.G., Gavrilov, L.A. 2001. "Economic crises, stress and mortality in Russia". Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (Washington, DC, March 23-25, 2001). Abstract published in: Population Association of America. 2001 Annual Meeting. Final Program and Abstracts. p.220-221.

2000

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova V.G. 2000. "Biodemographic study of the boundaries for human longevity". Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (Los Angeles, CA, March 23-25, 2000). Abstract published in: Population Association of America. 2000 Annual Meeting. Final Program and Abstracts. p.187.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova V.G. 2000. "Heritability of human lifespan is affected by parental age at childbirth". Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (Los Angeles, CA, March 23-25, 2000). Abstract published in: Population Association of America. 2000 Annual Meeting. Final Program and Abstracts. p.220.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. 2000. "Life expectancy and the month of birth." Paper presented at the 12th Meeting of the International Network on Health Expectancy (REVES-12), Los Angeles, CA.

Gavrilova, N.S., Semyonova, V.G., Evdokushkina, G.N., Gavrilov, L.A. 2000. "Health responses to economic changes in Russia". Paper presented at the 12th Meeting of the International Network on Health Expectancy (REVES-12), Los Angeles, CA.

1999

Gavrilova, N.S., Gavrilov, L.A., Evdokushkina, G.N., Semyonova, V.G. 1999. "The future of human longevity: a more realistic approach for life expectancy forecasting". Paper presented at the 28th Annual Meeting of the American Aging Association (AGE). June 4-8, 1999, Seattle, WA.

Gavrilova, N.S., Semyonova, V.G., Evdokushkina, G.N., Gavrilov, L.A. 1999. "The response of violent mortality to economic crisis in Russia". Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (New York, March 25-27, 1999). Abstract published in: Population Association of America. 1999 Annual Meeting. Final Program and Abstracts. 1999, p.169.

1998

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova V.G. 1998. "Biodemographic study of parental age effects on human longevity". Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (Chicago, IL, April 2-4, 1998). Abstract published in: Population Association of America. 1998 Annual Meeting. Final Program and Abstracts. p.142.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova V.G. 1998. "Mechanisms of familial transmission of human longevity: comparison of maternal and paternal contributions into offspring lifespan". Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (Chicago, IL, April 2-4, 1998). Abstract published in: Population Association of America. 1998 Annual Meeting. Final Program and Abstracts. p.142.

1997

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. 1997. "Paternal age at reproduction as a predictor of human life expectancy", Paper presented at the Tenth Meeting of the International Network on Health Expectancy (REVES-10), Nihon University, Population Research Center, Tokyo, Japan.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. 1997. "New estimates for the heritability of human life expectancy", Paper presented at the Tenth Meeting of the International Network on Health Expectancy (REVES-10), Nihon University, Population Research Center, Tokyo, Japan.


Response of the Scientific Community to the Scientific Research and the Book by L.A.Gavrilov and N.S.Gavrilova:

"Highly recommended for stimulating fresh approaches ... " - Professor Roy L. Walford, M.D., UCLA School of Medicine, USA. The Gerontologist, 1991, vol.31, No.5, p.707.

"... Many will find an excursion into it stimulating". - Dr. Emily Grundy, Lecturer in Gerontology, Age Concern Institute of Gerontology, King's College, London, UK. British Medical Journal, 1992, vol.305, No.6850, p.431.

"The Gavrilovs have made a valuable contribution to the study of life span, and any future work on the subject will have to take account of the rich contents of this book". - Dr. Vaino Kannisto, Former United Nations Adviser on Demography. Population Studies, 1992, vol.46, No.2, pp. 366-367.

"This book should be read by all members of the profession interested in mortality - which should be all members of the profession" - Dr. H.A.R.Barnett, Institute of Actuaries, UK. J.of The Institute of Actuaries, 1992, vol.119, Part II, pp.379-381.

"Good new book on ageing". - Dr. Thomas B.L.Kirkwood, Ph.D. Head of the Laboratory of Mathematical Biology, National Institute for Medical Research, London, United Kingdom. Nature, 1991, vol.352, 29 August, pp.767-768.

"... The reader will benefit enormously from the broadening of perspective as a result of exposure to the Gavrilovs' theories on the biology of life span" - Dr. Michael Akiyama, University of Michigan, Dearborn, USA. Human Biology, 1992, vol.64, No.4, pp.630-632.

"The book features quite a bit of demographic theory and analysis. It is refreshing" - Professor Michael R.Rose, University of California, Irvine, USA. Annals of Human Biology, 1992, vol.19, No.3, pp.320-321.

"A general theory of lifespan is thus created." - Dr. Norman Vetter, University Hospital of Wales, Cardiff, UK. J. of Epidemiology & Community Health, 1992, vol.46, No.6, p.630.

"I found it to be highly rewarding reading." - Dr. Edward J.Masoro, University of Texas Health Science Center.Quarterly Review of Biology, 1993, vol.68, p.92.

"... This book is a highly valuable contribution to the discipline. ...This book should make scientists take notice of research on aging and longevity ... in the former Soviet Union" - Dr. S. Jay Olshansky, Ph.D., University of Chicago, USA. Population and Development Review, 1992, vol.18, No.3, pp.555-558.

"... The birth of modern biodemography in a book published by Gavrilov and Gavrilova (1991) …" - Dr. S. Jay Olshansky, Ph.D., University of Chicago, USA. Population and Development Review, 1998, vol.24, No.2, p.384.

"It raises lots of interesting questions, … clarifies many methodological issues, and lays the groundwork in an entertaining way for future research." - Dr. Kenneth Hill, The Johns Hopkins University School of Hygiene and Public Health, Baltimore, USA. American Journal of Epidemiology., 1994, vol.139, No.2, p.231-232.

"Clearly, this is a very interesting, provocative and thought-provoking book" - Dr. Ward Dean, M.D., The Center for Bio-Gerontology, Pencasola, Florida, USA. Experimental Gerontology, 1992, vol.27, No.2, pp.251-253.

"This is an interesting book, full of tables and data and polemical in its approach." - Professor William A.Pryor, Director of Biodynamic Institute, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA,USA. Free Radical Biology & Medicine, 1992, vol.12, pp.331-332.

"It brings to bear a fresh approach whose ideas are logically presented and developed". - Dr. Brian Merry, Ph.D., Institute of Human Aging, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom. Ageing and Society, 1991, vol.11, No.4, pp.509-510.

"... Should be read by anyone seriously interested in ageing. ... You will find this a surprisingly good 'read', and a must for every library". - Dr.D.Sebastian Fairweather, Physician, Department of Geriatric Medicine, Oxford, United Kingdom. Age and Ageing, 1992, vol.21, No.5, pp.386-387.

"Ein aktuelles buch, das sicherlich die internationale diskussion des problems befordern kann." - Prof. Dr. Ingeborg Falck, Berlin, Germany. Zeitschrift für Gerontologie, 1991, Band 25, Heft 1, S.56.

"The book is well written, easy to read, and should be of interest to a wide spectrum of readers including physicians, biologists, biochemists, gerontologists..." - Prof. Robert W.Gracy, University of North Texas, USA. Educational Gerontology, 1993, vol.19, No.1, pp.92-93.

"This book is directed toward researchers interested in statistical patterns and mathematical models of human life span. For students within this defined area of research, this text offers a good historical perspective, insight into the Russian literature, and insight into the quantitative analysis of life span" - Dr. Deborah A. Roach, Department of Zoology, Duke University, Durham, USA. Ecology, 1992, vol.73, No.1, pp.379-381.

"This book is in essence a biostatistical analysis of the problems of lifespan, human and animal. ... The literature in many languages had clearly been well covered, and much has been made of national and other mortality statistics in this century. ... A useful source book." - Dr. F.I.Caird, D.M., F.R.C.P., Professor of Geriatric Medicine, Southern General Hospital, Glasgow, UK. J.of Clinical and Experimental Gerontology, 1992, vol.14, No. 3 & 4, p.309.

"This intelligent and thought provoking book should be read widely" - Dr. Suresh I.S.Rattan, Ph.D., Laboratory of Cellular Ageing, Aarhus University, Denmark. Indian Journal of Experimental Biology, 1993, vol.31, p.499-500.

"This is a provocative and refreshing book" - Dr.Alan R.Hipkiss, Age Concern Institute of Gerontology, King's College London, UK. International Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry, 1992, vol.7, No.8, p.614.

"To sum up, the book is substantial, interesting and brings fresh air. We can confidently commend its study to all scientists ... " - Dr. Janos Izsak, Department of Zoology, Berzsenyi Teachers' College, Szombathely, Hungary. Archives of Gerontology and Geriatrics, 1992, vol.15, No.2,pp.192-194.

"This ... is an excellent book. ... Nobody interested in aging should fail to read". - Dr. C. S. Downes, Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, UK. BioEssays, 1993, vol.15, No.5, pp.359-362.

"...Provocative and entertaining reading and can be recommended to anyone with an interest in biological aging." - Dr. Douglas E.Crews, Department of Anthropology, Ohio State University, USA. Journal of Cross-Cultural Gerontology, 1993, vol.8, No.3, pp.281-290.

"It deserves to be read widely. Scientists and physicians who are interested in the aging of populations or of individuals will be much more effective in their work if they become familiar with the subject matter of this book." - Journal of Orthomolecular Medicine, 1993, vol.8, No.1, pp.59-60.

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