CV of Leonid Gavrilov

Gavrilov, L.A., Yaguzhinsky, L.S. The kinetics of the growth of a human fibroblast culture. Biophysics [Biofizika], 1978, 23(6): 1041-1045.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S., Yaguzhinsky, L.S. The main regularities of animal aging and death viewed in terms of reliability theory. J. General Biology [Zhurnal Obschey Biologii], 1978, 39(5): 734-742.

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. The culture of diploid cells as an object for studying the molecular mechanisms of aging. Achievements in Modern Biology [Uspekhi Sovremennoy Biologii], 1978, 85(2): 267-283.

Papers Presented at Professional Meetings

2005

Gavrilov, L.A., Gavrilova, N.S. 2005. Mortality of centenarians: A study based on the Social Security Administration Death Master File. Full Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (Philadelphia, March 31 - April 2, 2005, oral presentation). Abstract published in: Population Association of America 2005 Annual Meeting. Final Program and Abstracts. p. 183.

N.S. Gavrilova, V.G. Semyonova, G.N. Evdokushkina, A.E. Ivanova, L.A. Gavrilov. "Problems with Mortality Data in Russia." Full Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (Philadelphia, March 31 - April 2, 2005, oral presentation). Abstract published in: Population Association of America 2005 Annual Meeting. Final Program and Abstracts.

International Symposium "Living to 100 and Beyond: Survival at Advanced Ages"
Orlando, Florida, January 12-14, 2005, The Society of Actuaries.

2004

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. "Using survival data as a predictive factor for survival or other outcomes", May 11, 2004. The National Institute on Aging, NIH, Washington, DC, USA
Workshop on Uses of Survival Data in Research on Factors Affecting Aging.

Gavrilov LA. "Biodemography of Human Longevity." Plenary Lecture. Inaugural International Conference on Longevity. Sydney, Australia, March 5-7, 2004.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Bio-Actuarial Studies of Human Longevity. Chicago Actuarial Association Workshop, Chicago, USA, March 18, 2004.

2003

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S., Semyonova V.G., Evdokushkina G.N. Early-life seasonal programming of human longevity. Symposium organized at the Annual meeting of the Gerontological Society of America, San Diego, November 21-25, 2003.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova V.G. Are long-lived women more prone to infertility? Testing the prediction of evolutionary theories of aging. Poster presented at the Annual meeting of the Gerontological Society of America, San Diego, November 21-25, 2003.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Testing biological ideas on evolution, ageing and longevity
with demographic and genealogical data. Invited presentation. University of Edinburgh, Biological Department. Population Genetics Seminar. 8 October, 2003.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Session 3. Limits on Human Lifespan and Molecular Effects on Ageing. Invited presentation. International Seminar "Projecting Future Mortality." Sponsored by Continuous Mortality Investigation Bureau and the Government Actuary's Department. October 5, 2003.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Early-Life Programming of Aging and Longevity: The Idea of High Initial Damage Load (the HIDL Hypothesis). Invited presentation. 10th Congress of the International Association of Biomedical Gerontology. Cambridge, UK, September 19-23, 2003.

Gavrilova N.S., Semyonova V.G., Evdokushkina G.N., Gavrilov L.A., Ivanova A.E. Recent mortality trends in Russia: Differences between younger and older generations. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Minneapolis, May 2003.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova V.G. " Is fertility impaired among the longevous women? Testing the evolutionary theories of aging." presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Minneapolis, May 2003.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Reliability theory & mortality. Invited presentation at the Chicago Actuarial Association Workshop, Chicago, March 25, 2003.

2002

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. Bio-reliability theory of aging and longevity. Poster presented at the Annual meeting of the Gerontological Society of America, Boston, November 22-26, 2002.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. "Mechanism of inheritance of human longevity: Paradox resolved". Poster presented at the Annual meeting of the Gerontological Society of America, Boston, November 22-26, 2002.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. "The quest for the general theory of aging and longevity." Invited presentation at the National Institutes of Health Meeting "The Dynamic and Energetic Bases of Health and Aging." Bethesda, November 11-13, 2002.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. "Early-life seasonal programming of adult lifespan: Evidence from the 19th century birth cohorts." Poster presented at the Annual Meeting of Social Science and History Association." St. Louis, October 24-27, 2002.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. "Is there a trade-off between the costs of reproduction and longevity?" Invited paper presented and the International meeting "Grandmothers: The psychological, social, and reproductive significance of the second half of life." Delmenhorst, Germany, September 19-21, 2002.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova V.G. "Early life conditions and later sex differences in adult lifespan." Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Atlanta, May 9-11, 2002. Abstract published in: Population Association of America. 2002 Annual Meeting. Final Program and Abstracts, p.288.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. “Early-life predictors of human longevity.” Paper presented at the 26th annual meeting of the Social Science History Association, Chicago, November 15-18, 2001.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. "Consanguinity and human longevity: Findings from the International Centenarian Study." Poster presented at the Annual meeting of the Gerontological Society of America, Chicago, November 15-18, 2001.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova V.G. 2001. "Parental age effects on human longevity". Paper presented at the 17th Congress of the International Association of Gerontology, Vancouver, Canada, July 1-6, 2001.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A., Semyonova V.G., Evdokushkina G.N. 2001. "Study of the inheritance of human longevity". Paper presented at the 17th Congress of the International Association of Gerontology, Vancouver, Canada, July 1-6, 2001.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova V.G. 2001. "Inbreeding and human longevity: first findings from the International Centenarian Study." Paper presented at the 13th Meeting of the International Network on Health Expectancy (REVES-13), Vancouver, Canada.

Gavrilova, N.S., Semyonova, V.G., Evdokushkina, G.N., Gavrilov, L.A. 2001. "Mortality crisis in Russia: New health threats". Paper presented at the 13th Meeting of the International Network on Health Expectancy (REVES-13), Vancouver, Canada.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova V.G. 2001. "Gender-specific effects of early life events on adult lifespan". Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (Washington, DC, March 23-25, 2001). Abstract published in: Population Association of America. 2001 Annual Meeting. Final Program and Abstracts. p.233.

Gavrilova, N.S., Evdokushkina, G.N., Semyonova, V.G., Gavrilov, L.A. 2001. "Economic crises, stress and mortality in Russia". Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (Washington, DC, March 23-25, 2001). Abstract published in: Population Association of America. 2001 Annual Meeting. Final Program and Abstracts. p.220-221.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova V.G. 2000. "Heritability of human lifespan is affected by parental age at childbirth". Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (Los Angeles, CA, March 23-25, 2000). Abstract published in: Population Association of America. 2000 Annual Meeting. Final Program and Abstracts. p.220.

Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. 2000. "Life expectancy and the month of birth." Paper presented at the 12th Meeting of the International Network on Health Expectancy (REVES-12), Los Angeles, CA.

Gavrilova, N.S., Semyonova, V.G., Evdokushkina, G.N., Gavrilov, L.A. 2000. "Health responses to economic changes in Russia". Paper presented at the 12th Meeting of the International Network on Health Expectancy (REVES-12), Los Angeles, CA.

Gavrilova, N.S., Semyonova, V.G., Evdokushkina, G.N., Gavrilov, L.A. 1999. "The response of violent mortality to economic crisis in Russia". Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (New York, March 25-27, 1999). Abstract published in: Population Association of America. 1999 Annual Meeting. Final Program and Abstracts. 1999, p.169.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A., Evdokushkina G.N., Semyonova V.G. 1998. "Mechanisms of familial transmission of human longevity: comparison of maternal and paternal contributions into offspring lifespan". Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (Chicago, IL, April 2-4, 1998). Abstract published in: Population Association of America. 1998 Annual Meeting. Final Program and Abstracts. p.142.

Gavrilova N.S., Gavrilov L.A. 1997. Gavrilov L.A., Gavrilova N.S. 1997. "New estimates for the heritability of human life expectancy", Paper presented at the Tenth Meeting of the International Network on Health Expectancy (REVES-10), Nihon University, Population Research Center, Tokyo, Japan.

Response of the Scientific Community to the Scientific Research and the Book "The Biology of Life Span" by L.A. Gavrilov:

"Gavrilov makes the best attempt I know of to distinguish how long people could live from how long they actually live - one of the more difficult tasks for both biology and statistics... Gavrilov's scholarship is impressive". - Professor Nathan Keyfitz, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria. Mathematical Population Studies, 1991, vol.3, No.2, p.161.

"... This book is a highly valuable contribution to the discipline. ...This book should make scientists take notice of research on aging and longevity ... in the former Soviet Union" - Dr. S. Jay Olshansky, Ph.D., University of Chicago, USA. Population and Development Review, 1992, vol.18, No.3, pp.555-558.

"... The birth of modern biodemography in a book published by Gavrilov and Gavrilova (1991) …" - Dr. S. Jay Olshansky, Ph.D., University of Chicago, USA. Population and Development Review, 1998, vol.24, No.2, p.384.

"Highly recommended for stimulating fresh approaches ... " - Professor Roy L. Walford, M.D., UCLA School of Medicine, USA. The Gerontologist, 1991, vol.31, No.5, p.707.

"... Many will find an excursion into it stimulating". - Dr. Emily Grundy, Lecturer in Gerontology, Age Concern Institute of Gerontology, King's College, London, UK. British Medical Journal, 1992, vol.305, No.6850, p.431.

"The Gavrilovs have made a valuable contribution to the study of life span, and any future work on the subject will have to take account of the rich contents of this book". - Dr. Vaino Kannisto, Former United Nations Adviser on Demography. Population Studies, 1992, vol.46, No.2, pp. 366-367.

"This book should be read by all members of the profession interested in mortality - which should be all members of the profession" - Dr. H.A.R.Barnett, Institute of Actuaries, UK. J.of The Institute of Actuaries, 1992, vol.119, Part II, pp.379-381.

"Good new book on ageing". - Dr. Thomas B.L.Kirkwood, Ph.D. Head of the Laboratory of Mathematical Biology, National Institute for Medical Research, London, United Kingdom. Nature, 1991, vol.352, 29 August, pp.767-768.

"... The reader will benefit enormously from the broadening of perspective as a result of exposure to the Gavrilovs' theories on the biology of life span" - Dr. Michael Akiyama, University of Michigan, Dearborn, USA. Human Biology, 1992, vol.64, No.4, pp.630-632.

"The book features quite a bit of demographic theory and analysis. It is refreshing" - Professor Michael R.Rose, University of California, Irvine, USA. Annals of Human Biology, 1992, vol.19, No.3, pp.320-321.

"A general theory of lifespan is thus created." - Dr. Norman Vetter, University Hospital of Wales, Cardiff, UK. J.of Epidemiology & Community Health, 1992, vol.46, No.6, p.630.

"I found it to be highly rewarding reading." - Dr. Edward J.Masoro, University of Texas Health Science Center.Quarterly Review of Biology, 1993, vol.68, p.92.

"It raises lots of interesting questions, … clarifies many methodological issues, and lays the groundwork in an entertaining way for future research." - Dr. Kenneth Hill, The Johns Hopkins University School of Hygiene and Public Health, Baltimore, USA. American Journal of Epidemiology., 1994, vol.139, No.2, p.231-232.

"Clearly, this is a very interesting, provocative and thought-provoking book" - Dr. Ward Dean, M.D., The Center for Bio-Gerontology, Pencasola, Florida, USA. Experimental Gerontology, 1992, vol.27, No.2, pp.251-253.

"This is an interesting book, full of tables and data and polemical in its approach." - Professor William A.Pryor, Director of Biodynamic Institute, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA,USA. Free Radical Biology & Medicine, 1992, vol.12, pp.331-332.

"It brings to bear a fresh approach whose ideas are logically presented and developed". - Dr. Brian Merry, Ph.D., Institute of Human Aging, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom. Ageing and Society, 1991, vol.11, No.4, pp.509-510.

"... Should be read by anyone seriously interested in ageing. ... You will find this a surprisingly good 'read', and a must for every library". - Dr.D.Sebastian Fairweather, Physician, Department of Geriatric Medicine, Oxford, United Kingdom. Age and Ageing, 1992, vol.21, No.5, pp.386-387.

"Ein aktuelles buch, das sicherlich die internationale diskussion des problems befordern kann." - Prof. Dr. Ingeborg Falck, Berlin, Germany. Zeitschrift fur Gerontologie, 1991, Band 25, Heft 1, S.56.

"The book is well written, easy to read, and should be of interest to a wide spectrum of readers including physicians, biologists, biochemists, gerontologists..." - Prof. Robert W.Gracy, University of North Texas, USA. Educational Gerontology, 1993, vol.19, No.1, pp.92-93.

"Leonid Gavrilov is a top-flight statistical population biologist... The area is important well beyond the confines of biological gerontology and extends into politics and social planning. Gavrilov is very good on just this sort of thing. He has a fresh approach, new ideas, a great deal of data not readily available elsewhere." - Dr. Roy. L. Walford, Professor of Pathology, UCLA School of Medicine, USA. Mathematical Population Studies, 1991, vol.3, No.2, p.161.

"This book is directed toward researchers interested in statistical patterns and mathematical models of human life span. For students within this defined area of research, this text offers a good historical perspective, insight into the Russian literature, and insight into the quantitative analysis of life span" - Dr.Deborah A.Roach, Department of Zoology, Duke University, Durham, USA. Ecology, 1992, vol.73, No.1, pp.379-381.

"This book is in essence a biostatistical analysis of the problems of lifespan, human and animal. ... The literature in many languages had clearly been well covered, and much has been made of national and other mortality statistics in this century. ... A useful source book." - Dr. F.I.Caird, D.M., F.R.C.P., Professor of Geriatric Medicine, Southern General Hospital, Glasgow, UK. J.of Clinical and Experimental Gerontology, 1992, vol.14, No. 3 & 4, p.309.

"This intelligent and thought provoking book should be read widely" - Dr. Suresh I.S.Rattan, Ph.D., Laboratory of Cellular Ageing, Aarhus University, Denmark. Indian Journal of Experimental Biology, 1993, vol.31, p.499-500.

"This is a provocative and refreshing book" - Dr.Alan R.Hipkiss, Age Concern Institute of Gerontology, King's College London, UK. International Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry, 1992, vol.7, No.8, p.614.

"To sum up, the book is substantial, interesting and brings fresh air. We can confidently commend its study to all scientists ... " - Dr. Janos Izsak, Department of Zoology, Berzsenyi Teachers' College, Szombathely, Hungary. Archives of Gerontology and Geriatrics, 1992, vol.15, No.2,pp.192-194.

"This ... is an excellent book. ... Nobody interested in aging should fail to read". - Dr. C.S.Downes, Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, UK. BioEssays, 1993, vol.15, No.5, pp.359-362.

"...Provocative and entertaining reading and can be recommended to anyone with an interest in biological aging." - Dr. Douglas E. Crews, Department of Anthropology, Ohio State University, USA. Journal of Cross-Cultural Gerontology, 1993, vol.8, No.3, pp.281-290.

"It deserves to be read widely. Scientists and physicians who are interested in the aging of populations or of individuals will be much more effective in their work if they become familiar with the subject matter of this book." - Journal of Orthomolecular Medicine, 1993, vol.8, No.1, pp.59-60.

Current:	Principal Investigator, Center on Aging, NORC and the University of Chicago
Current:	Faculty member, University of Chicago Center for East European and Russian/Eurasian Studies (CEERES)
1991-1997	Principal Research Scientist, A. N. Belozersky Institute, Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia
1993-1997	Senior Research Scientist, Institute for Systems Analysis, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
1987-1991	Senior Research Scientist, A. N. Belozersky Institute, Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia
1980-1987	Research Scientist, A. N. Belozersky Institute, Moscow State University